Private prediction markets · built for teams

Better forecasts.
Fewer meetings.

Spin up a private prediction market in 30 seconds. Your team stakes play money on what they actually believe, and you get a real number instead of a room full of guesses.

Launching soon · Be first in line when your team can try it

acme · product / Q2 launch
Active trading

Will we ship v2 by the end of Q2?

• 12 traders• Closes Jun 30• Product
Yes72¢
No28¢
Price history+18¢ this week ▲
1D1W1MALL
How it works

From “I have a hunch” to a real number in three steps.

STEP 01

Ask a question

“Will we hit $2M ARR by Q2?” Pick binary, multiple choice, or numeric. Set a resolution date.

BinaryMultiNumeric
STEP 02

Your team weighs in

Everyone stakes play money on what they believe. The quiet analyst counts as much as the loudest VP.

Yes72¢ ▲
No28¢
12 traders · 47 trades today
STEP 03

Watch belief move

The price IS your forecast. It updates as new information arrives. Resolve and pay out when you know the answer.

Belief rises as Q2 approaches
Your private workspace

One place for every forecast your team cares about.

Create a workspace, invite your team, and spin up as many markets as you need. Everything stays private. Just your people, your questions, your forecasts.

Markets · acme workspace

AllOpenClosedResolved
Will we ship v2 by end of Q2?
Product · closes Jun 30 · 12 traders
YES72¢
Trading
▲ +18¢
How many new hires will we make by June?
Ops · closes Jun 1 · 8 traders · numeric
EST.14
Trading
Which onboarding flow will convert better?
Growth · closes May 15 · 21 voters
FLOW B64%
Polling
Will competitor X launch before us?
Strategy · closes Jul 1 · 17 traders
YES31¢
Trading
▼ -4¢
Why teams switch

Polls ask opinions. Markets reveal beliefs.

Quiet voices count

Meetings reward confidence, not accuracy. Markets reward being right, so the quiet engineer who's usually correct finally has leverage.

Skin in the game

Opinions are free. Play-money stakes force people to commit to what they actually believe, not what sounds safe in a meeting.

Updates in real time

Forecasts are living numbers. When someone learns something new, the price moves, and your team's view of the future updates with it.

Built for teams, not traders

Private workspaces, role-based access, leaderboards, and comments. Everything is tuned for internal decision-making, not day trading.

Use cases

Any decision that starts with “I think…”

Teams use IntraOdds for product launches, hiring plans, strategy calls, risk assessments, and quarterly forecasts.

Product

Launches & roadmaps

Forecast ship dates, adoption, and feature impact before committing resources.

"Will v2 ship by end of Q2?"
Strategy

Quarterly planning

Get realistic forecasts on revenue, hiring, and market moves, straight from the people closest to them.

"Will we hit $2M ARR by Q2?"
Risk

Risk & bets

Surface concerns people won't raise in meetings. Quantify tail risks with a real number.

"Will the migration complete without data loss?"

Ready to find out what
your team actually believes?

We’re polishing the last few edges. Join the waitlist and we’ll let you in as soon as it’s ready.